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100 高知論叢 第97号De Datta, S.K., 1981. Principles and Practices of Rice Production, New York: John Wiley andSons.Fagan, B., 1999. Flood, Famines and Emperors, New York: Basic Books.Glantz, M.H., 19....

100 高知論叢 第97号De Datta, S.K., 1981. Principles and Practices of Rice Production, New York: John Wiley andSons.Fagan, B., 1999. Flood, Famines and Emperors, New York: Basic Books.Glantz, M.H., 1996. Currents of Change: El Nino’s impacts on climate and society, Cambridge,UK Cambridge University Press.Gommes, R., 1998. Climate-Related Risk in Agriculture. A note prepared for the IPCC ExpertMeeting on Risk Management Methods.(http://www.fao.org/waicent/faoinfo/sustdev/EIdirect/agroclim/concepts.htm).Gommes, R., Bakun, A. and Farmer, G., 1998. An El Nino Primer.(http://www.fao.org/WAICENT/FAOINFO/SUSTDEV/EIdirect/EIan0008.htm).Horton, D., 1988. Underground crops: Long-term trends in production of roots and tubers, AR,USA: Winrock International Morrilton.IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2001. Climate Change 2001: Impacts,Adaptation and Vulnerability, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.IRRI (International Rice Research Institute), 2002. Rice fact.(http://www.irri.org/Facts.htm#irrigated).McWilliams, J.R. and Dillon, J.L. 1987. Food legume crop improvement: Progress and constraints.In Wallis, E.S. and Byth, D.E. (eds.) Food legume Improvement for Asian Farming Systems.Proceedings of an international workshop, Khon Kaen, Thailand, 1-5 September 1986.Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research.MEI index (update 3 June 2002). (http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/~kew/MEI/table.html).Naylor, R., Falcon, W. and Zavaleta, E., 1997. Variability and Growth in Grain Yields, 1950-94:Dose the Record Point to Greater Instability? Population and Development 23(1).Naylor, R., Falcon, W., Wada, N. and Rochber, D., 2002. Using El Nino Southern Oscillationclimatic data to improve food policy planning in Indonesia. Bulletin of Indonesian EconomicStudies 38(1).Nicholls, N. and Beard, G., 2000. The application of El Nino-Southern Oscillation informationto seasonal forecasts in Australia. In Wilhite, D.A. (ed.). Drought: Volume I A GlobalAssessment, London and New York: Routledge.Podbury, T., Sheales, T.C., Hussain, I. and Fisher, B.S., 1998. Use of El Nino climate forecasts inAustralia. Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 80(5).Scott, G.J., Rosegrant, M.W. and Ringler, C., 2000. Roots and Tubers for the 21st Century: Trends,Projections and Policy Options. IFPRI and CIAT, Food, Agriculture, and EnvironmentDiscussion Paper 31.Stone, R. and Auliciems, A., 1992. SOI phase relationship with rainfall in eastern Australia. Int. J.Climatology 12.Tawang, A., Ahmad, T.A.T. and Abdullah, M.Y., 2002. Stabilization of upland agriculture underEl Nino-induced climatic risk: Impact assessment and mitigation measures in Malaysia.